Reading an AI Trade Ideas analysis
Bias, entry, stop, targets, confidence — and the one claim none of them makes.
Open any AI Trade Ideas analysis and name exactly what each part is for: the bias that frames the setup, the entry as a reference price, the stop loss as the point where the idea is proven wrong, the targets as distances, the risk-reward ratio as their proportion, and the confidence score as a measure of agreement between signals. Then add what turns three prices into a trade plan — entry conditions, invalidation, the economic calendar — and read the projection strip for what it is: a proposal drawn where the future would be, never a record of the past.
6 chapters · 8 quiz questions · 13 terms · included with a plan
Otus, on this module
You are going to read a great many of these, so learn to read one properly. Nearly every question I receive about an analysis is the same question in disguise: someone sees three prices and a percentage and assumes they have been handed a forecast with instructions attached. What they have been handed is a measurement and a proposal. Those are different objects, and treating one as the other is an expensive habit.
The chapters
Each module ends with you doing what it taught — a written answer Otus reads, and a quiz.
- 01 · Read
Bias, entry, stop, targets: what each number is for
Every number answers a different question. None of them answers "what happens next".
- 02 · Read
Three prices are not a trade plan
Context, entry conditions, invalidation, calendar, size — and which parts are the trader's.
- 03 · Read
Why the lines stop at the last bar
The strip of empty chart on the right, and the claim it refuses to make.
- 04 · Read
Open an analysis and name the parts
Two minutes in Analyze — reading the chart before a single word of prose.
- 05 · Study
The same levels, counted
Open "Which direction paid at a level" in this week's market study.
- 06 · Write
In your own words
Two sentences. Otus reads them.
- 07 · Quiz
Knowledge check
Eight questions. A wrong answer still earns XP; it only breaks the combo.
13 terms this module defines
The same definitions Otus uses in the lessons. All of them are in the trading glossary.
- Entry condition
- An observable event that must happen on the chart before an entry price means anything — price inside the zone, a close rather than a touch, the structure still intact. Decided before price arrives; decided afterwards, it is a justification.
- Invalidation level
- The price past which the reading behind an idea is no longer true. The stop loss is the order that acts on it, and sits a margin beyond it rather than on it.
- Entry
- The reference price an idea is measured from. Not a recommendation and not the best available price — the point that turns risk and reward into distances instead of moods.
- Stop loss
- The price at which the observation behind an idea has been shown to be wrong — a falsification point placed by structure, not a prediction that price will not go there and not a spending limit.
- Target
- A take-profit level (TP1, TP2): a price where the idea is worth re-examining, usually the next place price has previously reacted. Its distance from the entry is its entire content.
- Projection strip
- The band of empty chart to the right of the newest candle, where planned levels are drawn because they have not happened yet. A plan drawn across the history would claim the market had already traded it.
- Not a prediction
- An analysis states what is measurable now and what would make it wrong. It does not say what price will do next, and it never says what anyone should do with money.
- Setup
- A specific, defined situation on a chart, expressed as prices: a bias, an entry, a stop loss and targets. A setup describes where an idea would be measured; it does not say the idea will work.
- Bias
- The side a setup is arranged on: bullish (a long, stop below and targets above), bearish (a short, the mirror image) or neutral (no setup). It describes the arrangement of the levels, not a forecast of direction.
- Risk:Reward
- The distance from entry to target divided by the distance from entry to stop. It describes the payoff if the target is reached, and says nothing about how often it is reached.
- Confidence score
- A measure of how strongly the separate pieces of evidence behind an analysis agreed with each other. It is a score of agreement, not the chance that a trade works.
- Trade plan
- The full set of decisions made before a position exists: context, entry condition, invalidation, calendar check, size, then the prices. Without the rest, three prices are an order ticket.
- Hindsight bias
- The tendency to see past events as more predictable than they were once the result is known. A level drawn over old bars feeds it: the bounces are noticed and the misses are not.
Finishing it pays 150 XP and 3 keys on the game board, on top of what each chapter earns. XP measures what you learned — never what you earned. How levels work.
Education only. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything; the school teaches reading charts, never predictions.
Start with lesson one.
The first modules, Otus as your tutor and the game board are free. No card needed.